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How the New NFL Kickoff Rules Will Affect the Game
Photo: Dec 27, 2023; Houston, TX, USA; Oklahoma State Cowboys running back Ollie Gordon II (0) runs with the ball during the first quarter against the Texas A&M Aggies at NRG Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Troy Taormina-USA TODAY Sports

How the New NFL Kickoff Rules Will Affect the Game

The NFL's new kickoff rules aim to cut down on high-speed crashes during returns and make the game safer for players and more interesting for spectators. The rules are set to have an impact on the game's scoring patterns, which will in turn affect betting on the sport.

The new rules will probably reduce the number of stoppages; though the change will be small, they will likely make the game flow continuously for longer periods. Spectators can expect higher-scoring games due to more consistent offensive play.

By cutting down on kickoff returns and making starting field positions more uniform, the rules might create more predictable scoring trends, which will in turn affect betting totals and approaches. Bettors and sportsbooks will need to watch how teams adjust to the new changes to make informed decisions. Gaming enthusiasts are turning to some of the best crypto betting sites, which, according to Nick Pappas, are evaluated based on their security, welcome bonus, game selection, payment methods, and customer support. These casinos offer a variety of NFL betting options, including moneylines, point spreads, and prop bets.

The following are some of the new kickoff rules for the 2024 season: 

  • A kickoff returner can now signal for a fair catch anywhere inside the 25-yard line, and the ball will be placed at the 25-yard line. This rule is designed to reduce the number of returns, as many teams previously aimed to pin opponents deep by forcing them to return kickoffs that landed just outside the end zone. This change is similar to the fair catch rule in college football.
  • Teams are now required to have at least nine players in the setup zone on kickoffs, which is a 5-yard area between the 30- and 35-yard lines of the receiving lines of the receiving team. This change aims to limit the number of players getting a running start and reduce high-speed collisions.
  • The kicking team must have at least five players lined up on each side of the kicker, and no player can be more than one yard behind the restraining line when the ball is kicked.
  • The coverage team must wait until the ball is kicked before they can start running downfield. This adjustment ensures that the returner has more time and space to make decisions, which could also reduce the number of high-speed collisions.

The NFL was inspired by the XFL (Xtreme Football League), which implemented a similar rule that led to returns on 97% of kickoffs, an alarming difference with the NFL's 22% seen in 2023. The new rules will be used for one year on a trial basis and are subject to renewal next offseason. If the trial is successful, it could become a permanent fixture in the NFL.

Besides reducing high-speed crashes and influencing game scoring patterns, the kickoff rules are likely to affect the NFL draft in many ways. The draft, officially known as the Annual Player Selection Meeting, is an event that has been taking place every year since the time the first draft was held in 1936. It is the most common way of recruiting players in the National Football League. 

NFL teams are given a position based on their performance in the previous year in reverse order. This means that the Super Bowl champion will be positioned last, while the last team on record will be given the first position to either select a player or trade its position to another team for a player. It is only when each team has either traded its position on the draft or selected a player that the round is said to be complete.

The role of kick returners in the NFL has always been considered to be important for their ability to make game-changing plays on special teams. However, the recent rule changes may affect their draft stock just as the previous rule changes have affected games. When the rules were changed in 2018, the kickoff line was moved from the 20-yard line to the 35-yard line, which resulted in more touchbacks and fewer return opportunities. Later changes in 2020 prohibited teams from using a running start on kickoff returns, thereby reducing the importance of return specialists.

NFL teams are now concentrating more on touchbacks instead of trying to pin opponents deep with kickoffs. It is obvious that the emphasis on player safety has led to more conservative decisions on kickoff returns. With fewer opportunities to make an impact on kickoff returns, teams might end up seeking out other player skills like wide receivers or running backs with strong offensive skills, defensive players who can contribute in multiple phases, and flexible special teams players.

With the ongoing trends, return specialists might end up being seen as luxury picks or niche players instead of necessary assets. For them to continue being of use to teams, kick returners may need to develop additional skills, such as contributing as a receiver or running back on offense or playing a role in punt returns or other special teams units. While the value of kick returners might decrease, teams will still recognize the importance of special teams playmakers. 

Because of the changes to kickoff rules, scouts will need to look beyond special teams' capabilities and focus on evaluating players based on their overall athleticism, such as speed, strength, and endurance. Flexible players who can handle several roles or different positions will become more valuable, such as defensive linemen who can also play linebackers.

It is not surprising if both coaches and players find new ways to exploit the rules to their advantage over time, potentially leading to changes in how the game is played at all levels. The NFL is likely to continue monitoring the impact of the rules and make any necessary adjustments to ensure the balance between safety and the integrity of the game.