Trey Lance
Trey Lance  QB  North Dakota State | NFL Draft 2021 Souting Report - Portrait Image
Trey Lance
Height
6-4
Weight
226
College
North Dakota State
Position
QB
Class
Sophomore
Home town
Marshall
90.6/100
Player Rating
4
PositionRank (QB)
4.63
FortyYD Time
QB Rating
72.8
YDS
149
Comp %
50
TDS
2
INTs
1
Rush AVG
9.5
Trey Lance Prospect Overview
Crescent City Sports

Trey Lance QB North Dakota State | NFL Draft Profile & Scouting Report

Trey Lance QB North Dakota State
NFL Draft Profile & Scouting Report

PLAY STYLE: Dual Threat QB
Last Updated: 04/29/2021
Draft Year: 2021
40 time: 4.63 seconds (87%*)
Age: 24.7 DOB: 05/09/2000
Measurables:
Height: 6-4 (73%*) Weight: 226 (65%*)
Forty: 4.63 (O) (87%*)
0% 100%
(C) - NFL Combine (P) - Pro Day (O) - Other (HS) -Estimated from High School Combine
For an explanation of how the (HS) data is calculated see this article
SHARE THIS PROFILE:
PLAY STYLE: Dual Threat QB
Last Updated: 04/29/2021
Draft Year: 2021
40 time: 4.63 seconds (87%*)
Age: 24.7 DOB: 05/09/2000
Measurables:
0% 100%
Height: 6-4 (73%*) Weight: 226 (65%*)
Forty: 4.63 (O) (87%*)
(C) - NFL Combine (P) - Pro Day (O) - Other
(HS) -Estimated from High School Combine
For an explanation of how the (HS) data is calculated see this article
SHARE THIS PROFILE:
Overall Rating: 90.6 / 100
Average rating of opposition Defense player has faced
Defense Rating:
65%
Click the links below to view how player ranks vs other prospects.
Release Speed:
87%
Short Passing:
83%
Medium Passing:
86%
Long Passing:
93%
Rush/Scramble:
87%
DRAFT PROJECTION: 1st - Mid
Overall Rank: #14 Position rank: #4
College Games: 18 College Snaps: 1050
Grade: 247 Sports 3  Stars 247 Sports 81 Stars 247 RATING: 81/100
Grade: 2 Stars 2 Stars RIVALS RATING: 5.4 (89%)
San Francisco 49ers Drafted: 2021: ROUND: 1 - Pick Number: 3 (SF)

Lance had a fantastic 2019 campaign in which he completed almost 67 percent of his passes for 2,786 yards and 28 touchdowns without an interception (Pro QB rating of 130.8 ) while running for 1100 yds and 14 TDs on the way to leading the Bison to an FCS championship. The Bison is a fantastically athletic passer with one of the strongest arms and the highest upside in this draft class but has only one year of playing experience because of the COVID-19 pandemic. He has all of the physical tools you could ever ask for but has issues in his game and is the most polarizing prospect in the draft.

Strengths

  • Athletic quarterback with amazing physical skills and huge upside. Patient in the pocket keeps his eyes downfield and usually goes through progressions well. Can command the offense well and has a good feeling where everybody is on the field
  • Super intelligent - aced all his interviews with NFL scouts. Should pick up NFL schemes quickly despite limited experience
  • Has a quick release and gets passes immediately to the intended target
  • Sells fakes well, shows elusiveness, gets outside the pocket to avoid the rush with ease
  • He has the arm strength to push the ball downfield and hit closing windows outside. He also has the arm to add a little touch into his throws when necessary
  • He is never fazed in the pocket, and despite the limited opportunities given to him by a run-heavy offense, he has a veteran’s feel for making anticipatory throws
  • He’s extremely capable with the ball in his hands and an excellent awareness when running behind blocks, with good speed and a strong, heavy build

Weaknesses

  • Played in FCS for the equivalent of Alabama - the Bisons were streets ahead of their opponents and so has never really been tested against quality opposition
  • In the controlled environment at his pro-day he had eight misses which most of which came on overthrows: corner and fade routes to the right side of the field. He looked a little rusty and unpolished
  • He only made 17 starts and attempted just 318 passes as a collegiate quarterback
  • Played in a one read offense
  • While him being an amazing athlete is not in doubt, his testing numbers were not as good as fellow 2018 recruit Justin Fields coming out of high school. He also decided against running the 40 at his pro-day, which seemed like a suspect choice

Overall, we think he ranks as the fourth-best QB in this year's draft, with a similar level of athletic talent to Justin Fields, but just with far less experience. He could be a sensation in the NFL, equally, he could flame out - but the lack of playing time in college makes any assessment incredibly difficult.
A very high first-round pick.

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How other scouting services rate Trey Lance (Overall Rank)

All Scouts AverageOverall Rank
16.8
All Scouts AveragePosition Rank
4.0
*Percentile Ranking in Player's Position Group (NFL Combine Historical Data): This percentile reflects how a player's specific statistics rank in comparison to historical performances at the NFL Combine, specifically within their position group. A higher percentile indicates a better performance. For instance, being in the 90th percentile for a particular stat means the player outperformed 90% of their peers in that category.

*Similarity Percentage: This percentage is calculated based on a comprehensive analysis of various factors, including height, weight, 40-yard dash times, on-field performance statistics, and overall player rating. The analysis is conducted against our database of draft prospects from 2021 to 2023. This similarity score helps in evaluating how closely a current prospect aligns with past prospects. It is important to note, however, that this score reflects similarities based on college production and attributes, and does not account for eventual success or performance in the NFL.