CJ Baxter RB Texas | NFL Draft Profile & Scouting Report
CJ Baxter RB Texas
NFL Draft Profile & Scouting Report
ROLE: DUAL-ROLE Back | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Last Updated: 07/04/2025 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Draft Year: 2026 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
40 time: 4.48 seconds (76%*) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Age: 20.0 DOB: 06/28/2005 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
||||||||||||||||||||||||
SHARE THIS PROFILE:
|
ROLE: DUAL-ROLE Back | |
Last Updated: 07/04/2025 | |
Draft Year: 2026 | |
40 time: 4.48 seconds (76%*) | |
Age: 20.0 DOB: 06/28/2005 | |
SHARE THIS PROFILE:
|
Overall Rating: | 83.4 / 100 | |
---|---|---|
Rushing: |
|
79% |
Break Tackles: |
|
66% |
Receiving/Hands: |
|
78% |
Pass Blocking: |
|
66% |
Run Blocking: |
|
53% |
DRAFT PROJECTION:
4th
Overall Rank:
#123
Position rank:
#9
|
||
College Games: 13 College Snaps: 371 | ||
![]() ![]() |
||
![]() ![]() |
||
![]() ![]() |
Draft Profile: Bio
CJ Baxter burst onto the college football scene at Edgewater High School in Orlando, where he compiled 3,826 rushing yards and 57 touchdowns across his prep career. During his senior season, he opened with six straight 100-yard games, including a 272-yard explosion against Don Bosco that highlighted his big-play capability. The nation's top recruiting services took notice, with 247Sports ranking him as the second-best running back nationally and awarding him five-star status.At Texas, Baxter became the first true freshman running back to start a season opener since Ricky Williams in 1995. His 2023 campaign produced 659 rushing yards and five touchdowns on 138 carries while adding 24 receptions for 156 yards. When starter Jonathon Brooks went down with a knee injury, Baxter stepped into the featured role and delivered his best performance with 117 yards on 20 carries against Iowa State. He capped his freshman year with a solid Sugar Bowl showing against Washington, totaling 64 rushing yards and a touchdown.
The 2024 season never materialized for Baxter after he tore his LCL and PCL during fall camp, requiring season-ending surgery. While teammates Quintrevion Wisner and Jaydon Blue carried the load in his absence, Baxter focused on rehabilitation and recovery. Recent reports indicate he has been medically cleared and returned to practice, positioning him to reclaim a significant role in Texas' backfield for the 2025 season alongside quarterback Arch Manning.
Scouting Report: Strengths
- Built like a workhorse with thick 218-pound frame that can absorb contact while maintaining forward lean through traffic
- Runs with authority between the tackles, showing the grinding mentality to churn out tough yards on inside zones
- Legitimate second-level speed shows up on tape with the wheels that can separate from linebacker coverage
- Natural pass catcher who tracks the ball well and shows reliable hands on check-downs and swing routes
- Processes blocking schemes quickly and hits holes with conviction, rarely dancing behind the line of scrimmage
- Displays impressive balance through contact, consistently breaking arm tackles and picking up extra yardage after initial hit
- Shows patience to let blocks develop while maintaining vision to identify cutback lanes in zone concepts
- High football character with academic achievements and leadership qualities that translate to the pro setting
Scouting Report: Weaknesses
- Durability red flags after knee ligament injury cost him entire 2024 season and required surgical repair
- Pass protection technique needs significant work - struggles with timing and hand placement against edge rushers
- Can be too upright through contact, making him vulnerable to strip attempts and big collision injuries
- Lacks elite burst and explosion out of cuts, limiting his ability to create big plays in tight spaces
- Small sample size with only 12 games of significant college production raises questions about sustained excellence
Scouting Report: Summary
Baxter's workhorse frame and between-the-tackles running style align well with teams seeking a complementary power runner who can handle short-yardage situations and goal-line carries. His ability to absorb contact while maintaining forward progress makes him particularly valuable in situations where defenses know the run is coming, yet his timed speed provides enough burst to threaten the second level when blocking schemes create opportunities.The knee injury that cost him the entire 2024 season cannot be overlooked when projecting his professional ceiling. While recent reports indicate full medical clearance, the 2025 campaign becomes critical for evaluating whether his pre-injury speed and cutting ability remain intact. Teams will scrutinize his movement patterns closely, particularly his plant-and-cut explosiveness that was already an area needing improvement before the injury. His pass protection deficiencies represent another developmental hurdle that could limit his three-down potential early in his career, though his natural receiving ability provides immediate value on passing downs where protection isn't required.
What makes Baxter intriguing despite these concerns is his instinctive feel for running lanes and quick processing speed, which showed up consistently during his freshman campaign when he rarely hesitated hitting gaps or identifying cutback opportunities. His academic achievements and leadership qualities suggest the mental makeup to handle the complexities of NFL offensive systems, while his grinding style indicates he won't be overwhelmed by the physical demands at the next level. The challenge for evaluators lies in weighing his clear physical gifts against a limited body of work and injury concerns that could derail his trajectory. A productive, healthy 2025 season would likely elevate him into day-two consideration, while any setbacks or regression could push him toward the middle rounds where teams might view him as a developmental project with special teams value.
How other scouting services rate CJ Baxter (Overall Rank)
All Scouts AverageOverall Rank
161.5
All Scouts AveragePosition Rank
11.0
*Percentile Ranking in Player's Position Group (NFL Combine Historical Data): This percentile reflects how a player's specific statistics rank
in comparison to historical performances at the NFL Combine, specifically within their position group. A higher percentile indicates a better performance.
For instance, being in the 90th percentile for a particular stat means the player outperformed 90% of their peers in that category.
*Similarity Percentage: This percentage is calculated based on a comprehensive analysis of various factors, including height, weight, 40-yard dash times, on-field performance statistics, and overall player rating. The analysis is conducted against our database of draft prospects from 2021 to 2023. This similarity score helps in evaluating how closely a current prospect aligns with past prospects. It is important to note, however, that this score reflects similarities based on college production and attributes, and does not account for eventual success or performance in the NFL.
*Similarity Percentage: This percentage is calculated based on a comprehensive analysis of various factors, including height, weight, 40-yard dash times, on-field performance statistics, and overall player rating. The analysis is conducted against our database of draft prospects from 2021 to 2023. This similarity score helps in evaluating how closely a current prospect aligns with past prospects. It is important to note, however, that this score reflects similarities based on college production and attributes, and does not account for eventual success or performance in the NFL.