If confidence were a draft strategy, the Texans would have aced it. Jared Wiley at slot 163 is 33 spots clear of where he belonged.
Overpaying at the table undid a lot of the good work elsewhere. The Smith pick reads as want over need, and the roster will feel it at quarterback.
If this class has a fault line, it runs straight through quarterback. It is a win-now wager, and the future is the stake.
Bottom line, they will need several of these picks to beat their grades just to break even, and quarterback is still a hole.
Pick-by-Pick
R1.23
· Pick 23
· Xavier Legette
· WR
· rank 29
In Round 1, Pick 23 they get a true top target. Exactly the need they had to hit.
R1.24
· Pick 24
· Chop Robinson
· DE-EDGE
· rank 39
A reach on Chop Robinson in No. 24; the board had better options right there. The biggest hole on the depth chart just got a whole lot smaller.
R2.1
· Pick 33
· Byron Murphy II
· DL
· rank 43
They liked Byron Murphy II enough to skip the value, taking him in the 33rd overall pick. This was priority one on the needs board, and now it is handled.
R2.26
· Pick 58
· Edgerrin Cooper
· LB
· rank 59
Edgerrin Cooper in the 58th pick is exactly on the number, no argument either way. A sensible fit for a spot that needed help.
R3.24
· Pick 87
· Maason Smith
· DT-EDGE
· rank 87
A curious use of slot 87. Quarterback needed the pick; a DT-EDGE in Maason Smith did not.
R3.27
· Pick 90
· Blake Fisher
· OT
· rank 99
They jumped the gun on Blake Fisher, taking him earlier than his grade liked. Another box on the needs board, quietly ticked.
R4.23
· Pick 123
· Kris Abrams-Draine
· CB
· rank 118
A reasonable price with a little left over, Kris Abrams-Draine in pick 123. Useful body for a position without much behind the starter.
R4.26
· Pick 126
· Malik Mustapha
· S
· rank 136
Malik Mustapha in Round 4, Pick 26 is early enough to raise a brow, if not a full objection. It thickens a room that could stand to be thicker.
R5.27
· Pick 163
· Jared Wiley
· TE
· rank 196
Jared Wiley at the 163rd pick is the pick scouts circle, and not in a good way. It plugs a real leak on the depth chart.
R7.19
· Pick 239
· Xavier Thomas
· DE-EDGE
· rank 246
No edge and no loss on Xavier Thomas in slot 239; it is a wash and a sensible one. It also answers one of the loudest questions on the roster.
R7.27
· Pick 247
· Carson Steele
· RB
· rank 250
Carson Steele at the Round 7 slot is neither steal nor reach, just the going rate. They walked in needing this and walked out with it.