If confidence were a draft strategy, the Commanders would have aced it. Anim Dankwah at the Round 6 slot is 56 spots clear of where he belonged. Little went right, and the F does not pretend otherwise.
Bo Nix gives the offense a face and a plan, and the grade leans heavily on whether he hits. They lost the exchange badly enough to drag the whole class down. They covered a lot of ground and still skipped wide receiver, which is a strange place to end up.
Spend now, pay later; the math only works if this class delivers. Gray falling to them is the kind of break a good board is built to catch.
There is no soft landing here; this class has to massively overperform just to matter.
Pick-by-Pick
R1.10
· Pick 10
· Laiatu Latu
· DL-EDGE
· rank 7
In the 10th pick they get a disruptor off the edge at fair value. A clean fit for the roster.
R1.19
· Pick 19
· Taliese Fuaga
· OT
· rank 17
In slot 19 they get a plug-and-play piece up front. It fills the loudest need on the roster.
R1.28
· Pick 28
· Bo Nix
· QB
· rank 31
In No. 28 they get the arm they will build around. A real need, handled.
R2.4
· Pick 36
· Zach Frazier
· C
· rank 61
A wild overpay on Zach Frazier in the 36th overall pick, the sort that defines a class for the wrong reasons. This was priority one on the needs board, and now it is handled.
R2.20
· Pick 52
· Edgerrin Cooper
· LB
· rank 43
They let Edgerrin Cooper come to them and pounced at Round 2, Pick 20. A minor need, but a need all the same.
R3.19
· Pick 83
· Ben Sinnott
· TE
· rank 131
Ben Sinnott in pick No. 83 is a bet on their own eyes over everyone else's grade. Better still, it is exactly the hole they had to fill.
R3.31
· Pick 94
· Gabriel Murphy
· DL-EDGE
· rank 84
They read the board right and Gabriel Murphy was the payoff at No. 94. One more legitimate question on the roster, answered.
R4.1
· Pick 101
· Zak Zinter
· OG
· rank 102
A market-rate offensive lineman, with the board and the slot shaking hands on Zak Zinter. That was the need underlined and circled, and now it is checked off.
R4.3
· Pick 103
· Theo Johnson
· TE
· rank 135
Theo Johnson at pick 103 is the kind of overdraft that needs everything to break right. The one spot they could not leave alone, and did not.
R5.2
· Pick 138
· Cedric Gray
· LB
· rank 124
Cedric Gray slid further than he should have, and pick No. 138 is lovely value for the linebacker. Stacking talent where they were already deep.
R6.6
· Pick 181
· Joe Milton III
· QB
· rank 198
Joe Milton III in the Round 6 slot is the kind of reach that only looks good if he outplays it. A sensible fit that makes the depth chart a little sturdier.
R6.45
· Pick 220
· Anim Dankwah
· OT
· rank 276
They reached into another round for Anim Dankwah, and the board is nowhere close to agreeing. Top of the wish list, and they did not leave without it.