You can lose a draft before you make a pick. The Bears did it at the trade table, overpaying to chase players the board did not price nearly as high.
The whole projection now runs through Caleb Williams; hit there and everything else looks smarter. The running back hole is the one line item this class does not answer. On value alone, Muhammad III makes the weekend a net positive.
In short, the board sent warnings, and they will be hoping it was wrong.
Pick-by-Pick
R1.1
· Pick 1
· Caleb Williams
· QB
· rank 2
In No. 1 they get the face of the franchise. A clean fit for the roster.
R1.10
· Pick 10
· Rome Odunze
· WR
· rank 11
In slot 10 they get a home-run threat at receiver at fair value. A real need, handled.
R2.11
· Pick 43
· Graham Barton
· OT
· rank 33
Quietly one of the better values of the day, Graham Barton at pick 43. It fills a real need, too.
R3.10
· Pick 74
· Byron Murphy II
· DL
· rank 72
They took Byron Murphy II at par in the 74th pick, which is nothing to complain about. A must-fix position, and they treated it like one.
R4.10
· Pick 110
· Max Melton
· CB
· rank 114
A market-rate cornerback, with the board and the slot shaking hands on Max Melton. The one spot they could not leave alone, and did not.
R4.26
· Pick 126
· Matt Goncalves
· OT
· rank 104
They robbed the room for Matt Goncalves here, a fall nobody at the table saw coming. The roster fit checks out.
R5.11
· Pick 147
· Shemar Turner
· DL-EDGE
· rank 138
A tidy bit of business in pick No. 147, where Shemar Turner graded well above the range. That was the need underlined and circled, and now it is checked off.
R6.13
· Pick 188
· Moose Muhammad III
· WR
· rank 155
Somehow Moose Muhammad III was still sitting there in the 188th overall pick, and they pounced on premier wide receiver value. It plugs a real leak on the depth chart.
R7.11
· Pick 231
· Sheridan Jones
· CB
· rank 214
Sheridan Jones in slot 231 is a bargain the rest of the room will envy. The biggest hole on the depth chart just got a whole lot smaller.