Some picks age like wine; J.C. Davis at pick 209 will need to, sitting 51 spots clear of his grade.
Lawson falling to them is the kind of break a good board is built to catch. They handed away value on the phones that the picks cannot earn back.
Whatever Shedeur Sanders becomes, the front office has tied its fortunes to the answer. They punted on cornerback, and it is the miss that keeps the grade honest.
Bottom line, they will need several of these picks to beat their grades just to break even.
Pick-by-Pick
R1.1
· Pick 1
· Shedeur Sanders
· QB
· rank 4
In No. 1 they get a passer to set the clock by. A real need, handled.
R1.4
· Pick 4
· Ashton Jeanty
· RB
· rank 2
In Round 1, Pick 4 they get an every-down engine for the run game at fair value. A clean fit for the roster.
R2.3
· Pick 35
· Kenneth Grant
· DT
· rank 23
Nice patience on Kenneth Grant, who had no business lasting to pick 35. A need, and now a little less of one.
R2.6
· Pick 38
· Jalon Walker
· LB
· rank 22
Jalon Walker at slot 38 is the sort of value that quietly wins a weekend. It answers the question that was keeping the coaches up at night.
R2.12
· Pick 44
· Tyler Booker
· OG
· rank 37
Tyler Booker in the 44th overall pick lands just on the right side of the ledger. Top of the wish list, and they did not leave without it.
R4.1
· Pick 102
· Gunnar Helm
· TE
· rank 70
Gunnar Helm at the 102nd pick is the steal of the weekend, a first-round talent at a bargain-bin price. It fills a real need, too.
R4.18
· Pick 119
· Quinshon Judkins
· RB
· rank 73
Quinshon Judkins in the 119th overall pick should not have been possible, and that is the whole point. One more legitimate question on the roster, answered.
R5.3
· Pick 140
· Simeon Barrow Jr.
· DL
· rank 169
A swing that ignored the value entirely, Simeon Barrow Jr. well ahead of where he belonged. A real hole, addressed with a reasonable pick.
R5.11
· Pick 148
· Lathan Ransom
· S
· rank 103
Taking Lathan Ransom in the Round 5 slot is close to grand larceny; a safety that good had no business lasting this long. A quiet depth add at a thin-ish spot.
R5.29
· Pick 166
· Deontae Lawson
· LB
· rank 81
Deontae Lawson at the 166th pick is a first-round grade at a bargain-bin price, no notes. That was the need underlined and circled, and now it is checked off.
R5.31
· Pick 168
· Danny Stutsman
· LB
· rank 86
Circle this one: Danny Stutsman at Round 5, Pick 31 is a fall that decides a draft. Better still, it is exactly the hole they had to fill.
R5.33
· Pick 170
· Zane Durant
· DT
· rank 174
Zane Durant at pick No. 170 is neither steal nor reach, just the going rate. It shores up a spot that genuinely needed the help.
R5.34
· Pick 171
· Theo Wease Jr.
· WR
· rank 199
This one needs a full-page explanation: Theo Wease Jr. in No. 171, miles early. They walked in needing this and walked out with it.
R6.2
· Pick 177
· Cam Skattebo
· RB
· rank 113
They will replay Cam Skattebo at pick 177 for years; that is how good the value is. A sensible fit for a spot that needed help.
R6.12
· Pick 187
· Smael Mondon Jr.
· LB
· rank 106
A top-tier linebacker at a bargain, Smael Mondon Jr. in pick 187, plain and simple. A glaring weakness, addressed head on.
R6.34
· Pick 209
· J.C. Davis
· OT
· rank 260
They talked themselves into J.C. Davis at the Round 6 slot, and the board did not agree. The biggest hole on the depth chart just got a whole lot smaller.
R7.24
· Pick 240
· Joey Slackman
· DL
· rank 279
Joey Slackman at No. 240 is an overdraft of the loud, memorable kind. It plugs a real leak on the depth chart.
R7.31
· Pick 247
· Jonas Sanker
· S
· rank 196
A safety of that caliber at pick No. 247 is the definition of value, full stop. A luxury on a unit that was already in good shape.