If confidence were a draft strategy, the 49ers would have aced it. Dani Dennis-Sutton at the Round 2 slot is 30 spots clear of where he belonged. The math is unkind, and the D- follows.
The trades bled value they could not afford to lose. Spending an early pick on cornerback with running back and interior defensive lineman open is the decision the grade keeps circling back to. They punted on running back, and it is the miss that keeps the grade honest.
The Hurst steal is the beam this whole class leans on.
Bottom line, they will need several of these picks to beat their grades just to break even, and running back is still a hole.
Pick-by-Pick
R2.1
· Pick 33
· Blake Miller
· OT
· rank 45
A conviction pick on Blake Miller at pick No. 33 that the board grades a round light. The biggest hole on the depth chart just got a whole lot smaller.
R2.7
· Pick 39
· Chris Johnson
· CB
· rank 32
Chris Johnson in the Round 2 slot lands just on the right side of the ledger. It adds depth where they could use a little.
R2.13
· Pick 45
· Dillon Thieneman
· S
· rank 35
Value with a capital V on Dillon Thieneman in Round 2, Pick 13, a genuine coup. A minor need, but a need all the same.
R2.21
· Pick 53
· Dani Dennis-Sutton
· DE-EDGE
· rank 83
Dani Dennis-Sutton at No. 53 is a steep price for a hunch, hard to square with any board. It plugs a real leak on the depth chart.
R3.25
· Pick 89
· Keylan Rutledge
· OG
· rank 114
They left a pile of value on the table to take Keylan Rutledge this early at the 89th pick. That was the need underlined and circled, and now it is checked off.
R3.36
· Pick 100
· Sam Roush
· TE
· rank 92
Good things come to war rooms that wait, and Sam Roush at the 100th overall pick is the proof. A sensible fit that makes the depth chart a little sturdier.
R4.5
· Pick 105
· Ted Hurst
· WR
· rank 85
They will replay Ted Hurst at the 105th pick for years; that is how good the value is. It answers the question that was keeping the coaches up at night.
R4.15
· Pick 115
· Jalon Kilgore
· CB
· rank 100
They zigged when the board said zag, taking Jalon Kilgore at cornerback with running back and interior defensive lineman open.
R5.35
· Pick 175
· Taylen Green
· QB
· rank 185
The board had cheaper options than Taylen Green at the 175th overall pick, and it noticed. Another box on the needs board, quietly ticked.
R7.4
· Pick 220
· Owen Heinecke
· LB
· rank 230
Owen Heinecke in No. 220 is the kind of reach that only looks good if he outplays it. It patches a soft spot without any drama.
R7.7
· Pick 223
· Eli Heidenreich
· WR
· rank 233
They paid a round early for Eli Heidenreich in pick No. 223, more than the board wanted. The one spot they could not leave alone, and did not.