There is conviction, and then there is this. The Commanders took Blake Watson a full 131 picks ahead of where the board had him, an overdraft steep enough that it colors the whole weekend.
Spending an early pick on defensive back with quarterback open is the decision the grade keeps circling back to. Leaving quarterback unaddressed is the roster risk they will have to answer for in the fall. A modest surplus at the table, banked quietly.
A competent weekend that does not make headlines and does not need to.
Pick-by-Pick
R1.13
· Pick 13
· Joe Alt
· OT
· rank 12
In the 13th overall pick they get a blindside protector at fair value. The biggest hole, addressed.
R2.5
· Pick 37
· Barrett Carter
· LB
· rank 35
Barrett Carter in the 37th pick is fair value, right on his grade. A minor need, but a need all the same.
R2.12
· Pick 44
· Kingsley Suamataia
· OT
· rank 52
Kingsley Suamataia at slot 44 is a clear overpay, with better names still on the board. A glaring weakness, addressed head on.
R3.12
· Pick 76
· Quinyon Mitchell
· CB
· rank 91
A premium they did not need to pay, Quinyon Mitchell a notch or two before his time. It also answers one of the loudest questions on the roster.
R3.13
· Pick 77
· Terrion Arnold
· DB
· rank 87
Hard to square with the roster. With positions of obvious need still on the board, Terrion Arnold adds a defensive back and leaves quarterback untouched.
R3.37
· Pick 100
· Jaheim Bell
· TE
· rank 117
The board had cheaper options than Jaheim Bell at the Round 3 slot, and it noticed. This was priority one on the needs board, and now it is handled.
R4.12
· Pick 112
· Mohamed Kamara
· DL-EDGE
· rank 116
A market-rate edge rusher, with the board and the slot shaking hands on Mohamed Kamara. Another box on the needs board, quietly ticked.
R4.13
· Pick 113
· Cade Stover
· TE-EDGE
· rank 129
A surprising call. With quarterback still to address, they spent the 113th overall pick on Cade Stover, a TE-EDGE they were not short of.
R5.13
· Pick 149
· Jacob Cowing
· WR
· rank 174
Jacob Cowing at the 149th pick is the kind of overdraft that needs everything to break right. That was the need underlined and circled, and now it is checked off.
R6.15
· Pick 190
· Blake Watson
· RB
· rank 321
Blake Watson in slot 190 is a reach so steep the board needed a second look to believe it. A sensible fit for a spot that needed help.
R6.16
· Pick 191
· DeWayne Carter
· DT
· rank 205
DeWayne Carter in pick 191 is the kind of reach that only looks good if he outplays it. A sensible fit that makes the depth chart a little sturdier.
R7.13
· Pick 233
· Gavin Bartholomew
· TE
· rank 261
Gavin Bartholomew at No. 233 is the pick scouts circle, and not in a good way. The one spot they could not leave alone, and did not.