If confidence were a draft strategy, the Packers would have aced it. Cedric Gray at pick No. 88 is 36 spots clear of where he belonged.
With quarterback and wide receiver unsolved, spending premium capital on safety is the choice that costs them. The quarterback hole is the one line item this class does not answer.
The hoard sets up next April more than it helps this September. They went 6 of 8 on their needs, which is most of what a draft is for.
Bottom line, more hits than misses and a roster nudged the right way.
Pick-by-Pick
R1.25
· Pick 25
· Jackson Powers-Johnson
· C
· rank 29
Jackson Powers-Johnson at the Round 1 slot is neither steal nor reach, just the going rate. Another box on the needs board, quietly ticked.
R2.26
· Pick 58
· Mike Sainristil
· CB
· rank 65
A straight-up fair deal on Mike Sainristil at slot 58, value and slot in agreement. The biggest hole on the depth chart just got a whole lot smaller.
R3.12
· Pick 76
· Jaden Hicks
· S
· rank 72
Jaden Hicks at pick No. 76 is a sensible buy, a touch better than market for the safety. Depth more than a fix, but depth they can use.
R3.25
· Pick 88
· Cedric Gray
· LB
· rank 124
This one needs a full-page explanation: Cedric Gray in pick 88, miles early. Useful body for a position without much behind the starter.
R3.28
· Pick 91
· Renardo Green
· S
· rank 109
Hard to square with the roster. With positions of obvious need still on the board, Renardo Green adds a safety and leaves quarterback and wide receiver untouched.
R4.27
· Pick 127
· Fabien Lovett
· DL
· rank 144
They liked Fabien Lovett enough to skip the value, taking him in the 127th overall pick. One more legitimate question on the roster, answered.
R5.32
· Pick 168
· Isaac Guerendo
· RB
· rank 177
Isaac Guerendo at the 168th pick is a conviction pick that outran the value. It also answers one of the loudest questions on the roster.
R6.29
· Pick 204
· Erick All
· TE
· rank 209
No edge and no loss on Erick All in the 204th overall pick; it is a wash and a sensible one. The roster fit checks out.
R6.41
· Pick 216
· Garret Greenfield
· OT
· rank 219
By-the-book stuff, Garret Greenfield at No. 216 squarely in line with his ranking. A need, and now a little less of one.
R7.17
· Pick 237
· Evan Williams
· S
· rank 243
Evan Williams at pick No. 237 is right where the board had him, plain and simple. A want dressed up as a pick, at a spot they had covered.
R7.23
· Pick 243
· Solomon Byrd
· DE-EDGE
· rank 272
A swing that ignored the value entirely, Solomon Byrd well ahead of where he belonged. The one spot they could not leave alone, and did not.
R7.31
· Pick 251
· Blake Watson
· RB
· rank 277
Blake Watson in slot 251 is a reach so steep the board needed a second look to believe it. That was the need underlined and circled, and now it is checked off.