Chandler Rogers QB California | NFL Draft Profile & Scouting Report
Chandler Rogers QB California
NFL Draft Profile & Scouting Report
PLAY STYLE: Mobile Pocket Passer | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Last Updated: 09/20/2024 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Draft Year: 2025 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
40 time: 4.61 seconds (89%*) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
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PLAY STYLE: Mobile Pocket Passer | |
Last Updated: 09/20/2024 | |
Draft Year: 2025 | |
40 time: 4.61 seconds (89%*) | |
SHARE THIS PROFILE:
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Overall Rating: | 74.0 / 100 | |
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Average rating of opposition Defense player has faced | ||
Defense Rating: |
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78% |
Click the links below to view how player ranks vs other prospects. | ||
Release Speed: |
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81% |
Short Passing: |
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71% |
Medium Passing: |
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76% |
Long Passing: |
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84% |
Rush/Scramble: |
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57% |
DRAFT PROJECTION:
UDFA
Overall Rank:
#323
Position rank:
#30
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College Games: 37 College Snaps: 2093 | ||
College Combine Results
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OVR Rank:
#275
Pos Rank:
#39
State Rank:
#201
College Combine Results
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Player Comparison* (Similarity level) | ||
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Todd Centeio - James Madison |
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76% |
Jake Haener - Fresno State |
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73% |
McKenzie Milton - Florida State |
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71% |
Draft Profile: Bio
Chandler Rogers, born October 23, 2001, hails from Mansfield, Texas. At Lake Ridge High School, he amassed 3,497 passing yards with 34 touchdowns and 2,464 rushing yards with 29 touchdowns. Rated a three-star recruit, Rogers committed to Southern Miss over offers from Air Force, Seton Hill, Southern, and Texas Southern.Rogers' collegiate journey began at Southern Miss in 2019, where he appeared in two games. He transferred to Blinn College for the 2020 season, starting four games and throwing for 750 yards. In 2021, Rogers moved to Louisiana-Monroe, where he played 12 games, starting six. He completed 112 of 179 passes for 1,311 yards, 9 touchdowns, and 3 interceptions. His 2022 season at ULM saw improvement, with 2,403 yards and 15 touchdowns over 12 starts.
Transferring to North Texas for the 2023 season, Rogers had his most productive year. He passed for 3,382 yards and 29 touchdowns against just 5 interceptions, completing 62.2% of his passes. His performance ranked him in the top 20 nationally for passing yards and top 10 for touchdowns. Following the 2023 season, Rogers transferred to California for his final year of eligibility.
Scouting Report: Strengths
- Plus arm talent with the ability to make all the throws in the route tree
- Dual-threat QB with the wheels to extend plays and pick up chunks on the ground
- High football IQ, demonstrates ability to process defenses and make pre-snap reads
- Quick trigger allows for success in timing-based passing attacks
- Shows grit in the pocket, willing to stand tall and deliver with rushers bearing down
- Improved ball placement over career, particularly in the short to intermediate game
- Versatile signal-caller with experience in multiple offensive systems
- Cerebral player who can digest playbooks and adjust to new schemes quickly
Scouting Report: Weaknesses
- Lacks prototypical NFL QB size, raising concerns about durability and ability to see over the trenches
- Doesn't possess a howitzer for an arm, limiting vertical passing game potential
- Inconsistent throwing mechanics, especially in lower body, leading to occasional accuracy issues
- Limited experience against top-tier competition may lead to a steep learning curve at the next level
- Can be overly aggressive extending plays, potentially leading to ball security issues in the pros
Scouting Report: Summary
Rogers enters the NFL draft as a developmental prospect with significant hurdles to overcome. His 6'0", 195 lb frame lacks prototypical NFL quarterback size, potentially limiting his ability to see over offensive lines and raising durability concerns. While his college production improved yearly, culminating in a strong final season at North Texas, the leap to NFL-caliber defenses will test his processing speed and decision-making under pressure.His mobility and improved accuracy on short to intermediate throws could make him suitable for West Coast or RPO-heavy systems. However, questions remain about his arm strength for challenging NFL secondaries consistently on deep routes. Rogers' experience in multiple college systems demonstrates adaptability, but also raises concerns about why he didn't solidify a starting role earlier in his career.
At the next level, Rogers faces an uphill battle to secure a roster spot. His most viable path may be through a practice squad, where he can develop without immediate game pressure. To succeed, he'll need to quickly acclimate to NFL speed, improve arm strength, and prove he can operate effectively from the pocket despite size limitations. Even then, Rogers may need to consider alternative professional leagues to gain experience before potentially returning for another NFL opportunity.
How other scouting services rate Chandler Rogers (Overall Rank)
All Scouts AverageOverall Rank
583.5
All Scouts AveragePosition Rank
46.0
*Percentile Ranking in Player's Position Group (NFL Combine Historical Data): This percentile reflects how a player's specific statistics rank
in comparison to historical performances at the NFL Combine, specifically within their position group. A higher percentile indicates a better performance.
For instance, being in the 90th percentile for a particular stat means the player outperformed 90% of their peers in that category.
*Similarity Percentage: This percentage is calculated based on a comprehensive analysis of various factors, including height, weight, 40-yard dash times, on-field performance statistics, and overall player rating. The analysis is conducted against our database of draft prospects from 2021 to 2023. This similarity score helps in evaluating how closely a current prospect aligns with past prospects. It is important to note, however, that this score reflects similarities based on college production and attributes, and does not account for eventual success or performance in the NFL.
*Similarity Percentage: This percentage is calculated based on a comprehensive analysis of various factors, including height, weight, 40-yard dash times, on-field performance statistics, and overall player rating. The analysis is conducted against our database of draft prospects from 2021 to 2023. This similarity score helps in evaluating how closely a current prospect aligns with past prospects. It is important to note, however, that this score reflects similarities based on college production and attributes, and does not account for eventual success or performance in the NFL.