CAR @ PHI Preview GAME SIM PROJECTION
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CAR
Panthers

20
PROJECTION
CAR 25 – PHI 14
| WIN% | PROJ | FINAL | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CAR | 54% | 20 | 25 |
| PHI | 46% | 19 | 14 |
19

PHI
Eagles
✓
RESULT
CAR by 11
model CAR by 1.2, off by 9.8
✓
SPREAD
CAR +1
WIN
line at publish PHI -1
✓
TOTAL
39 pts
UNDER
O/U 42, model 40 lean under
Panthers by 1.2
The sim sides with Panthers: a 1.2-point edge and a 54% win rate over 50 runs (20-19).
Matchup Breakdown
How the model sees it unfold — the matchups that decide the game, from 50 simulationsKeys to the Game
- Chuba Hubbard (Panthers) vs Jeremiah Trotter Jr. (Eagles) - winner: Jeremiah Trotter Jr., holding him to 3.2 yds a carry - no daylight all game.
In the Trenches
- The Eagles' line should hold up: the Panthers win just 50% of their reps, mustering 6.7 sacks and 27.3 pressures a game (Jaelan Phillips (3.9 sacks, 8.4 pressures a game) the one to watch).
- Don't expect much heat from the Eagles — a 52% win rate yields only 6.4 sacks and 28.7 pressures a game, with Jonathan Greenard (3.8 sacks, 9.3 pressures a game) setting the tone.
Through the Air
- The Panthers' aerial attack runs through Tetairoa McMillan (62 yds a game, open on 51% of routes).
- The Eagles' aerial attack runs through DeVonta Smith (62 yds a game, open on 54% of routes).
- Devin Lloyd (Panthers) is the stopper here, allowing open looks on only 36% of his coverage snaps with 0.1 INT a game.
On the Ground
- Chuba Hubbard is the workhorse for the Panthers, churning 40 yds a game at 3.2 a carry, doing his damage to the right side against a stingy front.
- Expect a steady diet of Saquon Barkley: 45 yds a game at 4.3 a carry for the Eagles, churning to the right side.
Model vs Market
Sim lineCAR -1.2
Market linePHI -1
Sim total40
Market total42
CAR by 1.2 (54% to win) Projected total 40 pts Bryce Young ~256 pass yds (250+ 54%) Tetairoa McMillan ~86 rec yds, 6.3 rec (70+ 68%)








