CLV @ NYG Preview GAME SIM PROJECTION

  1. Home
  2. Game Simulator
  3. Matchup Preview
← Week 15 slate
CLV Browns
16
PROJECTION
Week 15 50-sim average
WIN%PTS
CLV38%16
NYG62%19
19
NYG Giants
BET VALUE
MARKET NYG -4.5 · O/U 40.5

Projected Team Stats

CLV
NYG
38% Win Probability 62%
278 Total Yards 280
187 Passing Yards 188
90 Rushing Yards 91
2.6 Sacks 2.9
1.0 Turnovers 1.1

Projected Leaders

CLV
PASS Deshaun Watson206 pass yds, 1.0 TD
RUSH Quinshon Judkins55 rush yds, 0.4 TD
REC Denzel Boston3.8 rec, 61 yds, 0.3 TD
REC Jerry Jeudy3.9 rec, 50 yds, 0.2 TD
NYG
PASS Jaxson Dart204 pass yds, 1.3 TD
RUSH Cam Skattebo52 rush yds, 0.3 TD
REC Malik Nabers4.8 rec, 73 yds, 0.5 TD
REC Darius Slayton2.6 rec, 35 yds, 0.2 TD

Giants by 3.0

Run it 50 times and Giants win 62% of them, by 3.0 on average (19-16).

Matchup Breakdown

How the model sees it unfold — the matchups that decide the game, from 50 simulations
In the Trenches
  • The Browns' quarterback should have time; the Giants win just 50% of reps for 5.1 sacks a game, with Brian Burns (2.4 sacks, 7.2 pressures a game) setting the tone.
  • The Giants' line should hold up: the Browns win just 50% of their reps, mustering 5.0 sacks and 24.7 pressures a game — Jared Verse (2.1 sacks, 7.5 pressures a game) out front.
Through the Air
  • The Giants' aerial attack runs through Malik Nabers (55 yds a game, open on 56% of routes).
  • Jerry Jeudy should find soft spots all day, open 43% of the time for 27 yds a game.
  • Ronnie Hickman Jr. (Browns) locks down his side, giving up open windows on just 36% of routes with 0.2 INT a game.
On the Ground
  • On the ground, the Giants ride Cam Skattebo: 13 carries, 52 yds a game (4.1 a carry), doing his damage off the right edge.
  • Quinshon Judkins is the workhorse for the Browns, churning 55 yds a game at 3.8 a carry, with his best work off the right edge.

Model vs Market

Sim lineNYG -3.0
Market lineNYG -4.5
Sim total34
Market total40.5
NYG by 3.0 (62% to win) Projected total 34 pts Deshaun Watson ~206 pass yds (250+ 14%) Quinshon Judkins ~55 rush yds (70+ 26%) Malik Nabers ~73 rec yds, 4.8 rec (70+ 52%)