CLV @ TEN Preview GAME SIM PROJECTION

CLV Browns

PROJECTION

Week 7 50-sim average

	WIN%	PROJ
CLV	66%	17
TEN	34%	12

TEN Titans

BET VALUE

MARKET CLV -1.5 · O/U 36.5

CLV

TEN

66% Win Probability 34%

277 Total Yards 224

198 Passing Yards 178

79 Rushing Yards 46

3.1 Sacks 2.6

1.0 Turnovers 1.2

CLV

PASS

Deshaun Watson209 pass yds, 0.9 TD

RUSH

Quinshon Judkins36 rush yds, 0.2 TD

REC

Denzel Boston5.2 rec, 91 yds, 0.4 TD

REC

KC Concepcion3.4 rec, 37 yds

TEN

PASS

Cam Ward196 pass yds, 0.8 TD

RUSH

Tony Pollard20 rush yds, 0.1 TD

REC

Carnell Tate5.2 rec, 71 yds, 0.3 TD

REC

Wan'Dale Robinson3.3 rec, 39 yds, 0.2 TD

The sim sides with Browns: a 4.5-point edge and a 66% win rate over 50 runs (17-12).

Keys to the Game

Tony Pollard (Titans) vs Quincy Williams (Browns) - winner: Quincy Williams, holding him to 2.1 yds a carry - the front wins up front.
Quinshon Judkins (Browns) vs Alontae Taylor (Titans) - winner: Alontae Taylor, holding him to 2.9 yds a carry - stuffed at the line.

In the Trenches

The Browns get stonewalled often up front, winning only 50% of reps (6.2 sacks a game), Jared Verse (2.3 sacks, 8.6 pressures a game) leading the way.
The Browns' line should hold up: the Titans win just 49% of their reps, mustering 4.6 sacks and 22.7 pressures a game — John Franklin-Myers (1.5 sacks, 6.4 pressures a game) out front.

Through the Air

Expect the Browns to feed Denzel Boston: 5.5 catches for 67 yds a game, open 58% of the time.
Through the air it is Carnell Tate's show for the Titans: 48 yds a game, open on 41% of routes.
On the back end, Denzel Ward (Browns) blankets his man, surrendering separation on just 37% of routes, adding 0.6 INT a game.

On the Ground

Quinshon Judkins carries the load for the Browns, 12 carries for 36 yds a game at 2.9 a carry, finding room to the right side with tough sledding.
Expect a steady diet of Tony Pollard: 20 yds a game at 2.1 a carry for the Titans.