LA @ SEA Preview GAME SIM PROJECTION

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← Week 16 slate
LA Rams
32
PROJECTION
Week 16 50-sim average
WIN%PTS
LA78%32
SEA22%22
22
SEA Seahawks
BET VALUE
BEST BET Take LA +1.5 +11.3 pts
MARKET SEA -1.5 · O/U 47.5

Projected Team Stats

LA
SEA
78% Win Probability 22%
451 Total Yards 323
309 Passing Yards 236
142 Rushing Yards 87
2.0 Sacks 2.1
1.5 Turnovers 1.8

Projected Leaders

LA
PASS Matthew Stafford301 pass yds, 2.2 TD
RUSH Kyren Williams85 rush yds, 0.5 TD
REC Puka Nacua7.7 rec, 98 yds, 0.7 TD
REC Davante Adams5.5 rec, 74 yds, 0.5 TD
SEA
PASS Sam Darnold249 pass yds, 1.5 TD
RUSH Zach Charbonnet55 rush yds, 0.4 TD
REC Jaxon Smith-Njigba5.2 rec, 70 yds, 0.4 TD
REC Cooper Kupp5.2 rec, 58 yds, 0.4 TD

Rams by 9.8

Run it 50 times and Rams win 78% of them, by 9.8 on average (32-22).

Matchup Breakdown

How the model sees it unfold — the matchups that decide the game, from 50 simulations
Keys to the Game
  • Kyren Williams (Rams) vs Tyrice Knight (Seahawks) - winner: Kyren Williams, 4.9 yds a carry - moves the chains on the ground.
  • Jaxon Smith-Njigba (Seahawks) vs Trent McDuffie (Rams) - winner: Jaxon Smith-Njigba, open on 61% of routes for 7.7/9.2, 63 yds a game - a matchup to attack.
In the Trenches
  • The Rams get stonewalled often up front, winning only 53% of reps (4.3 sacks a game), led by Myles Garrett (3.0 sacks, 7.4 pressures a game).
  • The Rams' line should hold up: the Seahawks win just 49% of their reps, mustering 4.5 sacks and 18.0 pressures a game, and Uchenna Nwosu (1.1 sacks, 6.4 pressures a game) headlines it.
Through the Air
  • Through the air it is Puka Nacua's show for the Rams: 82 yds a game, open on 53% of routes.
  • The Seahawks lean on Jaxon Smith-Njigba, good for 7.7 catches and 63 yds a game while breaking open on 61% of his routes.
  • On the back end, Julian Love (Seahawks) blankets his man, surrendering separation on just 41% of routes, good for 0.1 INT a game.
On the Ground
  • Kyren Williams sets the tempo for the Rams — 85 yds a game on the ground at 4.9 a carry, with the holes opening to the right side and moving the chains.
  • The Seahawks' run game leans on Zach Charbonnet — 16 carries, 55 yds a game (3.4 a carry).

Model vs Market

Sim lineLA -9.8
Market lineSEA -1.5
Sim total53
Market total47.5
LA by 9.8 (78% to win) Projected total 53 pts Matthew Stafford ~301 pass yds (250+ 76%) Kyren Williams ~85 rush yds (70+ 76%) Puka Nacua ~98 rec yds, 7.7 rec (70+ 74%)