NYG @ SEA Preview GAME SIM PROJECTION

  1. Home
  2. Game Simulator
  3. Matchup Preview
← Week 14 slate
NYG Giants
15
PROJECTION
Week 14 50-sim average
WIN%PTS
NYG18%15
SEA82%31
31
SEA Seahawks
BET VALUE
Lean SEA -7.5 +8.6 pts
MARKET SEA -7.5 · O/U 45.5

Projected Team Stats

NYG
SEA
18% Win Probability 82%
281 Total Yards 409
193 Passing Yards 265
88 Rushing Yards 144
1.6 Sacks 2.3
1.6 Turnovers 1.2

Projected Leaders

NYG
PASS Jaxson Dart207 pass yds, 0.9 TD
RUSH Cam Skattebo43 rush yds, 0.2 TD
REC Malik Nabers4.9 rec, 68 yds, 0.3 TD
REC Darius Slayton3.1 rec, 38 yds, 0.2 TD
SEA
PASS Sam Darnold246 pass yds, 2.0 TD
RUSH Zach Charbonnet79 rush yds, 0.8 TD
REC Cooper Kupp5.7 rec, 75 yds, 0.4 TD
REC Jaxon Smith-Njigba5.1 rec, 72 yds, 0.6 TD

Seahawks by 16.1

Across 50 simulations, Seahawks come out on top 82% of the time by an average of 16.1 (31-15).

Matchup Breakdown

How the model sees it unfold — the matchups that decide the game, from 50 simulations
Keys to the Game
  • Jaxon Smith-Njigba (Seahawks) vs Paulson Adebo (Giants) - winner: Jaxon Smith-Njigba, open on 64% of routes for 7.4/8.7, 69 yds a game - money in this spot.
In the Trenches
  • The Seahawks get stonewalled often up front, winning only 48% of reps (4.8 sacks a game), Uchenna Nwosu (1.2 sacks, 6.8 pressures a game) leading the way.
  • Don't expect much heat from the Giants — a 51% win rate yields only 3.0 sacks and 13.7 pressures a game, led by Brian Burns (1.7 sacks, 4.8 pressures a game).
Through the Air
  • Jaxon Smith-Njigba headlines the Seahawks' receiving corps — 7.4 catches for 69 yds a game on 64% separation.
  • Malik Nabers is the go-to for the Giants, separating on 43% of routes for 37 yds a game.
  • Julian Love (Seahawks) locks down his side, giving up open windows on just 27% of routes, good for 0.1 INT a game.
On the Ground
  • On the ground, the Seahawks ride Zach Charbonnet: 17 carries, 79 yds a game (4.6 a carry), churning off right tackle.
  • Cam Skattebo sets the tempo for the Giants — 43 yds a game on the ground at 3.3 a carry.

Model vs Market

Sim lineSEA -16.1
Market lineSEA -7.5
Sim total45
Market total45.5
SEA by 16.1 (82% to win) Projected total 45 pts Sam Darnold ~246 pass yds (250+ 50%) Zach Charbonnet ~79 rush yds (70+ 58%) Cooper Kupp ~75 rec yds, 5.7 rec (70+ 58%)