PHI @ CHI Preview GAME SIM PROJECTION

  1. Home
  2. Game Simulator
  3. Matchup Preview
← Week 3 slate
PHI Eagles
24
PROJECTION
Week 3 50-sim average
WIN%PTS
PHI76%24
CHI24%15
15
CHI Bears
BET VALUE
BEST BET Take PHI +1.5 +10.3 pts
MARKET CHI -1.5 · O/U 46.5

Projected Team Stats

PHI
CHI
76% Win Probability 24%
365 Total Yards 291
209 Passing Yards 179
155 Rushing Yards 112
3.4 Sacks 2.8
1.1 Turnovers 1.4

Projected Leaders

PHI
PASS Jalen Hurts211 pass yds, 1.6 TD
RUSH Saquon Barkley73 rush yds, 0.5 TD
REC DeVonta Smith5.2 rec, 67 yds, 0.4 TD
REC Makai Lemon5.3 rec, 65 yds, 0.5 TD
CHI
PASS Caleb Williams202 pass yds, 0.7 TD
RUSH D'Andre Swift53 rush yds, 0.2 TD
REC Rome Odunze4.8 rec, 63 yds, 0.2 TD
REC Luther Burden III2.9 rec, 32 yds, 0.1 TD

Eagles by 8.8

Run it 50 times and Eagles win 76% of them, by 8.8 on average (24-15).

Matchup Breakdown

How the model sees it unfold — the matchups that decide the game, from 50 simulations
Keys to the Game
  • Rome Odunze (Bears) vs Quinyon Mitchell (Eagles) - winner: Quinyon Mitchell, holding him to 36 yds on just 35% open, 0.9 INT a game, - in his hip pocket all day.
  • Saquon Barkley (Eagles) vs Dillon Thieneman (Bears) - winner: Saquon Barkley, 4.9 yds a carry - consistent push behind him.
  • DeVonta Smith (Eagles) vs Tyrique Stevenson (Bears) - winner: DeVonta Smith, open on 59% of routes for 6.3/9.0, 53 yds a game - money in this spot.
In the Trenches
  • The Bears' line should hold up: the Eagles win just 49% of their reps, mustering 7.0 sacks and 32.2 pressures a game, and Jonathan Greenard (3.3 sacks, 9.2 pressures a game) headlines it.
  • The Bears get stonewalled often up front, winning only 50% of reps (5.8 sacks a game), led by Montez Sweat (1.8 sacks, 8.0 pressures a game).
Through the Air
  • DeVonta Smith should find soft spots all day, open 59% of the time for 53 yds a game.
  • Look for Rome Odunze to eat: 4.9 catches and 36 yds a game for the Bears.
  • On the back end, Quinyon Mitchell (Eagles) blankets his man, surrendering separation on just 34% of routes — and 0.5 picks a game.
On the Ground
  • Saquon Barkley is the workhorse for the Eagles, churning 73 yds a game at 4.9 a carry, finding room off the right edge and controlling the clock.
  • D'Andre Swift is the workhorse for the Bears, churning 53 yds a game at 3.9 a carry, with the holes opening off the right edge.

Model vs Market

Sim linePHI -8.8
Market lineCHI -1.5
Sim total39
Market total46.5
PHI by 8.8 (76% to win) Projected total 39 pts Jalen Hurts ~211 pass yds (250+ 22%) Saquon Barkley ~73 rush yds (70+ 46%) DeVonta Smith ~67 rec yds, 5.2 rec (70+ 40%)