SEA @ LA Preview GAME SIM PROJECTION

  1. Home
  2. Game Simulator
  3. Matchup Preview
← Week 18 slate
SEA Seahawks
14
PROJECTION
Week 18 50-sim average
WIN%PROJ
SEA12%14
LA88%27
27
LA Rams

Projected Team Stats

SEA
LA
12% Win Probability 88%
238 Total Yards 408
182 Passing Yards 279
56 Rushing Yards 129
2.1 Sacks 2.9
1.7 Turnovers 1.4

Projected Leaders

SEA
PASS Sam Darnold203 pass yds, 0.7 TD
RUSH Emanuel Wilson25 rush yds, 0.1 TD
REC Jaxon Smith-Njigba6.2 rec, 79 yds, 0.2 TD
REC Cooper Kupp3.4 rec, 36 yds, 0.2 TD
LA
PASS Matthew Stafford271 pass yds, 1.9 TD
RUSH Kyren Williams79 rush yds, 0.7 TD
REC Puka Nacua7.8 rec, 94 yds, 0.5 TD
REC Davante Adams5.3 rec, 65 yds, 0.5 TD

Rams by 13.3

The sim sides with Rams: a 13.3-point edge and a 88% win rate over 50 runs (27-14).

Matchup Breakdown

How the model sees it unfold — the matchups that decide the game, from 50 simulations
Keys to the Game
  • Emanuel Wilson (Seahawks) vs Emmanuel Forbes (Rams) - winner: Emmanuel Forbes, holding him to 1.8 yds a carry - stuffed at the line.
  • Kyren Williams (Rams) vs Tyrice Knight (Seahawks) - winner: Kyren Williams, 4.8 yds a carry - moves the chains on the ground.
  • Puka Nacua (Rams) vs Devon Witherspoon (Seahawks) - winner: Puka Nacua, open on 58% of routes for 11.3/13.6, 87 yds a game - money in this spot.
In the Trenches
  • Pressure could be scarce for the Rams — a 51% win rate, 5.5 sacks and 28.3 pressures a game — Byron Young (2.1 sacks, 7.1 pressures a game) out front.
  • The Rams' quarterback should have time; the Seahawks win just 50% of reps for 4.4 sacks a game, with Uchenna Nwosu (0.8 sacks, 6.1 pressures a game) setting the tone.
Through the Air
  • Puka Nacua should find soft spots all day, open 58% of the time for 87 yds a game.
  • The Seahawks' aerial attack runs through Jaxon Smith-Njigba (56 yds a game, open on 52% of routes).
  • Quentin Lake (Rams) locks down his side, giving up open windows on just 35% of routes with 0.0 INT a game.
On the Ground
  • On the ground, the Rams ride Kyren Williams: 16 carries, 79 yds a game (4.8 a carry), finding room to the right side and controlling the clock.
  • Emanuel Wilson carries the load for the Seahawks, 14 carries for 25 yds a game at 1.8 a carry with tough sledding.

Model vs Market

LA by 13.3 (88% to win) Projected total 42 pts Matthew Stafford ~271 pass yds (250+ 68%) Kyren Williams ~79 rush yds (70+ 58%) Puka Nacua ~94 rec yds, 7.8 rec (70+ 74%)