SEA @ LV Preview GAME SIM PROJECTION

  1. Home
  2. Game Simulator
  3. Matchup Preview
← Week 10 slate
SEA Seahawks
26
PROJECTION
Week 10 50-sim average
WIN%PTS
SEA76%26
LV24%17
17
LV Raiders
BET VALUE
MARKET SEA -7 · O/U 43.5

Projected Team Stats

SEA
LV
76% Win Probability 24%
369 Total Yards 321
234 Passing Yards 243
135 Rushing Yards 78
1.4 Sacks 1.4
1.1 Turnovers 1.2

Projected Leaders

SEA
PASS Sam Darnold230 pass yds, 1.5 TD
RUSH Zach Charbonnet76 rush yds, 0.7 TD
REC Jaxon Smith-Njigba4.5 rec, 62 yds, 0.4 TD
REC Cooper Kupp5.1 rec, 61 yds, 0.4 TD
LV
PASS Kirk Cousins253 pass yds, 1.2 TD
RUSH Ashton Jeanty47 rush yds, 0.3 TD
REC Tre Tucker6.0 rec, 68 yds, 0.4 TD
REC Brock Bowers5.0 rec, 56 yds, 0.3 TD

Seahawks by 9.2

Seahawks are the pick here, favoured by 9.2 and winning 76% of 50 sims (projected 26-17).

Matchup Breakdown

How the model sees it unfold — the matchups that decide the game, from 50 simulations
Keys to the Game
  • Tre Tucker (Raiders) vs Devon Witherspoon (Seahawks) - winner: Devon Witherspoon, holding him to 46 yds on just 35% open, 1.0 INT a game, - a window that never opens.
  • Zach Charbonnet (Seahawks) vs Jeremy Chinn (Raiders) - winner: Zach Charbonnet, 5.2 yds a carry - a tone-setter on the ground.
  • Byron Murphy II (Seahawks) vs Spencer Burford (Raiders) - winner: Byron Murphy II, winning 57% of reps for 2.2 sacks and 0.3 pressures a game - the pressure that tilts it.
  • Jaxon Smith-Njigba (Seahawks) vs Eric Stokes (Raiders) - winner: Jaxon Smith-Njigba, open on 62% of routes for 6.4/8.0, 55 yds a game - open at will.
In the Trenches
  • The Raiders' line should hold up: the Seahawks win just 51% of their reps, mustering 3.1 sacks and 5.9 pressures a game (Byron Murphy II (2.2 sacks, 0.3 pressures a game) the one to watch).
  • The Seahawks' line should hold up: the Raiders win just 51% of their reps, mustering 3.1 sacks and 12.8 pressures a game (Maxx Crosby (2.3 sacks, 5.0 pressures a game) the one to watch).
Through the Air
  • Expect the Seahawks to feed Jaxon Smith-Njigba: 6.4 catches for 55 yds a game, open 62% of the time.
  • Look for Tre Tucker to eat: 6.7 catches and 46 yds a game for the Raiders.
  • Devon Witherspoon (Seahawks) is a problem in coverage, holding his man open on just 28% of routes — and 1.0 picks a game.
On the Ground
  • Zach Charbonnet is the workhorse for the Seahawks, churning 76 yds a game at 5.2 a carry, finding room to the right side and controlling the clock.
  • Ashton Jeanty carries the load for the Raiders, 14 carries for 47 yds a game at 3.4 a carry, doing his damage to the right side.

Model vs Market

Sim lineSEA -9.2
Market lineSEA -7
Sim total43
Market total43.5
SEA by 9.2 (76% to win) Projected total 43 pts Kirk Cousins ~253 pass yds (250+ 50%) Zach Charbonnet ~76 rush yds (70+ 56%) Tre Tucker ~68 rec yds, 6.0 rec (70+ 44%)