TEN @ LV Preview GAME SIM PROJECTION

TEN Titans

PROJECTION

Week 16 50-sim average

	WIN%	PROJ
TEN	28%	15
LV	72%	23

LV Raiders

TEN

28% Win Probability 72%

279 Total Yards 352

221 Passing Yards 270

58 Rushing Yards 82

1.1 Sacks 3.2

1.2 Turnovers 1.1

TEN

PASS

Cam Ward241 pass yds, 1.1 TD

RUSH

Tony Pollard29 rush yds, 0.4 TD

REC

Carnell Tate5.8 rec, 79 yds, 0.4 TD

REC

Wan'Dale Robinson4.5 rec, 55 yds

PASS

Kirk Cousins271 pass yds, 1.6 TD

RUSH

Ashton Jeanty44 rush yds, 0.5 TD

REC

Tre Tucker6.2 rec, 89 yds, 0.4 TD

REC

Brock Bowers4.4 rec, 57 yds, 0.4 TD

Across 50 simulations, Raiders come out on top 72% of the time by an average of 8.1 (23-15).

Keys to the Game

Maxx Crosby (Raiders) vs JC Latham (Titans) - winner: Maxx Crosby, winning 56% of reps for 4.3 sacks and 9.6 pressures a game - winning his reps all afternoon.
Ashton Jeanty (Raiders) vs Alontae Taylor (Titans) - winner: Alontae Taylor, holding him to 3.2 yds a carry - no daylight all game.
Tony Pollard (Titans) vs Jeremy Chinn (Raiders) - winner: Jeremy Chinn, holding him to 2.9 yds a carry - bottled up between the tackles.

In the Trenches

The Raiders may have to manufacture pressure, winning 51% up front for 6.5 sacks a game, and Maxx Crosby (4.3 sacks, 9.6 pressures a game) headlines it.
Don't expect much heat from the Titans — a 51% win rate yields only 2.8 sacks and 9.3 pressures a game, Jeffery Simmons (1.9 sacks, 0.3 pressures a game) leading the way.

Through the Air

Through the air it is Tre Tucker's show for the Raiders: 64 yds a game, open on 51% of routes.
Through the air it is Carnell Tate's show for the Titans: 49 yds a game, open on 54% of routes.

On the Ground

Expect a steady diet of Ashton Jeanty: 44 yds a game at 3.2 a carry for the Raiders, finding room to the right side.
The Titans' run game leans on Tony Pollard — 10 carries, 29 yds a game (2.9 a carry) into a stout front.