NFL Week 2 Predictions Picks, Scores & Best Bets
2026 Season · Week 2
Every game projected from a 50-simulation head-to-head: the projected result and win probability, the market line, the game's top performers, and the matchup edges a team-stats model misses - who wins in the trenches, on the outside, and on the ground. Tap a game for the full breakdown.
Thursday, Sep 17
Thu
8:15pm
PROJ
DET 82%
BUF 18%
PASS
Jared Goff289 pass yds, 2.0 TD
Jared Goff289 pass yds, 2.0 TD
RUSH
Jahmyr Gibbs108 rush yds, 1.5 TD
Jahmyr Gibbs108 rush yds, 1.5 TD
REC
Amon-Ra St. Brown6.4 rec, 83 yds, 0.4 TD
Amon-Ra St. Brown6.4 rec, 83 yds, 0.4 TD
MARKET
BUF -3 O/U 52.5 vs Model DET -11.6
Sim Prediction: Lions by 11.6
Full breakdown →
BET VALUE
VALUE
Lean DET +3 +14.6 pts
The model leans Lions by 11.6, winning 82% of 50 sims (projected 31-19).
Jahmyr Gibbs (Lions) vs Joe Andreessen (Bills) - winner: Jahmyr Gibbs, 7.6 yds a carry - moves the chains on the ground.
Aidan Hutchinson (Lions) vs Spencer Brown (Bills) - winner: Aidan Hutchinson, winning 58% of reps for 4.4 sacks and 9.4 pressures a game - he lives in the backfield.
Sunday, Sep 20
Sun
1:00pm
PROJ
CAR 30%
ATL 70%
PASS
Bryce Young224 pass yds, 1.0 TD
Bryce Young224 pass yds, 1.0 TD
RUSH
Bijan Robinson102 rush yds, 1.1 TD
Bijan Robinson102 rush yds, 1.1 TD
REC
Tetairoa McMillan5.2 rec, 65 yds, 0.3 TD
Tetairoa McMillan5.2 rec, 65 yds, 0.3 TD
MARKET
ATL -1.5 O/U 43.5 vs Model ATL -7.7
Sim Prediction: Falcons by 7.7
Full breakdown →
BET VALUE
VALUE
Lean ATL -1.5 +6.2 pts
The model leans Falcons by 7.7, winning 70% of 50 sims (projected 23-16).
Bijan Robinson (Falcons) vs Tre'von Moehrig (Panthers) - winner: Bijan Robinson, 6.7 yds a carry - controls the line of scrimmage.
Chuba Hubbard (Panthers) vs Divine Deablo (Falcons) - winner: Divine Deablo, holding him to 3.0 yds a carry - nowhere to run.
Sun
1:00pm
PROJ
NO 56%
BLT 44%
PASS
Tyler Shough240 pass yds, 1.3 TD
Tyler Shough240 pass yds, 1.3 TD
RUSH
Derrick Henry78 rush yds, 0.5 TD
Derrick Henry78 rush yds, 0.5 TD
REC
Chris Olave6.8 rec, 89 yds, 0.4 TD
Chris Olave6.8 rec, 89 yds, 0.4 TD
MARKET
BLT -7.5 O/U 46.5 vs Model BLT -0.1
Sim Prediction: Ravens by 0.1
Full breakdown →
BET VALUE
VALUE
Lean NO +7.5 +7.4 pts
Ravens are the pick here, favoured by 0.1 and winning 44% of 50 sims (projected 18-17).
Derrick Henry (Ravens) vs Julian Blackmon (Saints) - winner: Derrick Henry, 4.7 yds a carry - moves the chains on the ground.
Sun
1:00pm
PROJ
MIN 44%
CHI 56%
PASS
Caleb Williams223 pass yds, 1.0 TD
Caleb Williams223 pass yds, 1.0 TD
RUSH
Aaron Jones54 rush yds, 0.2 TD
Aaron Jones54 rush yds, 0.2 TD
REC
Rome Odunze5.1 rec, 72 yds, 0.3 TD
Rome Odunze5.1 rec, 72 yds, 0.3 TD
MARKET
CHI -3.5 O/U 45.5 vs Model CHI -2.9
Sim Prediction: Bears by 2.9
Full breakdown →
BET VALUE
The model leans Bears by 2.9, winning 56% of 50 sims (projected 20-17).
The Vikings' quarterback should have time; the Bears win just 50% of reps for 5.8 sacks a game, Montez Sweat (2.2 sacks, 8.2 pressures a game) leading the way.
Pressure could be scarce for the Vikings — a 49% win rate, 5.5 sacks and 26.7 pressures a game (Dallas Turner (2.9 sacks, 8.6 pressures a game) the one to watch).
Sun
1:00pm
PROJ
CIN 44%
HST 56%
PASS
Joe Burrow303 pass yds, 1.7 TD
Joe Burrow303 pass yds, 1.7 TD
RUSH
David Montgomery66 rush yds, 0.4 TD
David Montgomery66 rush yds, 0.4 TD
REC
Nico Collins6.7 rec, 91 yds, 0.6 TD
Nico Collins6.7 rec, 91 yds, 0.6 TD
MARKET
HST -2.5 O/U 46.5 vs Model HST -2.3
Sim Prediction: Texans by 2.3
Full breakdown →
BET VALUE
Run it 50 times and Texans win 56% of them, by 2.3 on average (25-22).
Will Anderson Jr. (Texans) vs Orlando Brown Jr. (Bengals) - winner: Will Anderson Jr., winning 56% of reps for 4.3 sacks and 11.5 pressures a game - too much juice for the blocker.
Danielle Hunter (Texans) vs Amarius Mims (Bengals) - winner: Danielle Hunter, winning 55% of reps for 2.3 sacks and 11.2 pressures a game - the disruptor that swings the pass game.
Sun
1:00pm
PROJ
PIT 50%
NE 50%
PASS
Aaron Rodgers236 pass yds, 0.9 TD
Aaron Rodgers236 pass yds, 0.9 TD
RUSH
Jaylen Warren56 rush yds, 0.4 TD
Jaylen Warren56 rush yds, 0.4 TD
REC
D.K. Metcalf6.2 rec, 71 yds, 0.2 TD
D.K. Metcalf6.2 rec, 71 yds, 0.2 TD
MARKET
NE -4.5 O/U 43.5 vs Model NE -2.4
Sim Prediction: Patriots by 2.4
Full breakdown →
BET VALUE
Run it 50 times and Patriots win 50% of them, by 2.4 on average (19-17).
D.K. Metcalf (Steelers) vs Christian Gonzalez (Patriots) - winner: Christian Gonzalez, holding him to 38 yds on just 36% open, 1.3 INT a game, - in his hip pocket all day.
Michael Pittman Jr. (Steelers) vs Marcus Jones (Patriots) - winner: Marcus Jones, holding him to 23 yds on just 40% open, 0.7 INT a game, - blanket coverage.
Sun
1:00pm
PROJ
GB 64%
NYJ 36%
PASS
Jordan Love243 pass yds, 1.3 TD
Jordan Love243 pass yds, 1.3 TD
RUSH
Breece Hall73 rush yds, 0.4 TD
Breece Hall73 rush yds, 0.4 TD
REC
Christian Watson4.7 rec, 75 yds, 0.3 TD
Christian Watson4.7 rec, 75 yds, 0.3 TD
MARKET
GB -6.5 O/U 42.5 vs Model GB -2.2
Sim Prediction: Packers by 2.2
Full breakdown →
BET VALUE
Run it 50 times and Packers win 64% of them, by 2.2 on average (20-17).
Micah Parsons (Packers) vs Armand Membou (Jets) - winner: Micah Parsons, winning 57% of reps for 3.6 sacks and 8.2 pressures a game - a one-man wrecking crew off the edge.
Josh Jacobs (Packers) vs Mykal Walker (Jets) - winner: Mykal Walker, holding him to 2.9 yds a carry - met in the backfield.
Sun
1:00pm
PROJ
CLV 34%
TB 66%
PASS
Baker Mayfield207 pass yds, 1.4 TD
Baker Mayfield207 pass yds, 1.4 TD
RUSH
Quinshon Judkins58 rush yds, 0.4 TD
Quinshon Judkins58 rush yds, 0.4 TD
REC
Chris Godwin4.5 rec, 58 yds, 0.2 TD
Chris Godwin4.5 rec, 58 yds, 0.2 TD
MARKET
TB -5.5 O/U 42.5 vs Model TB -4.2
Sim Prediction: Buccaneers by 4.2
Full breakdown →
BET VALUE
The model leans Buccaneers by 4.2, winning 66% of 50 sims (projected 18-14).
Jerry Jeudy (Browns) vs Jacob Parrish (Buccaneers) - winner: Jacob Parrish, holding him to 24 yds on just 38% open, 0.6 INT a game, - locked up on the outside.
Bucky Irving (Buccaneers) vs Ronnie Hickman Jr. (Browns) - winner: Ronnie Hickman Jr., holding him to 2.6 yds a carry - no daylight all game.
Sun
1:00pm
PROJ
PHI 88%
TEN 12%
PASS
Jalen Hurts217 pass yds, 1.4 TD
Jalen Hurts217 pass yds, 1.4 TD
RUSH
Saquon Barkley72 rush yds, 0.6 TD
Saquon Barkley72 rush yds, 0.6 TD
REC
DeVonta Smith4.7 rec, 67 yds, 0.4 TD
DeVonta Smith4.7 rec, 67 yds, 0.4 TD
MARKET
PHI -4.5 O/U 42.5 vs Model PHI -13.3
Sim Prediction: Eagles by 13.3
Full breakdown →
BET VALUE
VALUE
Lean PHI -4.5 +8.8 pts
The model leans Eagles by 13.3, winning 88% of 50 sims (projected 25-11).
Saquon Barkley (Eagles) vs Kevin Winston Jr. (Titans) - winner: Saquon Barkley, 5.3 yds a carry - the back the defense can't corral.
Jeffery Simmons (Titans) vs Cam Jurgens (Eagles) - winner: Jeffery Simmons, winning 57% of reps for 1.5 sacks and 5.5 pressures a game - winning his reps all afternoon.
Sun
4:05pm
PROJ
JAX 32%
DEN 68%
PASS
Trevor Lawrence243 pass yds, 1.1 TD
Trevor Lawrence243 pass yds, 1.1 TD
RUSH
J.K. Dobbins57 rush yds, 0.3 TD
J.K. Dobbins57 rush yds, 0.3 TD
REC
Jaylen Waddle5.7 rec, 70 yds, 0.3 TD
Jaylen Waddle5.7 rec, 70 yds, 0.3 TD
MARKET
DEN -2.5 O/U 43.5 vs Model DEN -5.0
Sim Prediction: Broncos by 5.0
Full breakdown →
BET VALUE
Run it 50 times and Broncos win 68% of them, by 5.0 on average (23-18).
Brian Thomas Jr. (Jaguars) vs Ja'Quan McMillian (Broncos) - winner: Ja'Quan McMillian, holding him to 37 yds on just 34% open, 0.7 INT a game, - shut down all game.
J.K. Dobbins (Broncos) vs Antonio Johnson (Jaguars) - winner: J.K. Dobbins, 5.0 yds a carry - a tone-setter on the ground.
Sun
4:05pm
PROJ
LV 26%
LAC 74%
PASS
Kirk Cousins256 pass yds, 1.3 TD
Kirk Cousins256 pass yds, 1.3 TD
RUSH
Omarion Hampton66 rush yds, 0.6 TD
Omarion Hampton66 rush yds, 0.6 TD
REC
Ladd McConkey5.6 rec, 72 yds, 0.5 TD
Ladd McConkey5.6 rec, 72 yds, 0.5 TD
MARKET
LAC -8.5 O/U 42.5 vs Model LAC -7.5
Sim Prediction: Chargers by 7.5
Full breakdown →
BET VALUE
Across 50 simulations, Chargers come out on top 74% of the time by an average of 7.5 (25-17).
Omarion Hampton (Chargers) vs Jeremy Chinn (Raiders) - winner: Omarion Hampton, 5.8 yds a carry - the back the defense can't corral.
Ashton Jeanty (Raiders) vs Derwin James Jr. (Chargers) - winner: Derwin James Jr., holding him to 3.2 yds a carry - met in the backfield.
Sun
4:25pm
PROJ
SEA 86%
ARZ 14%
PASS
Jacoby Brissett262 pass yds, 1.3 TD
Jacoby Brissett262 pass yds, 1.3 TD
RUSH
Zach Charbonnet78 rush yds, 1.0 TD
Zach Charbonnet78 rush yds, 1.0 TD
REC
Cooper Kupp5.3 rec, 71 yds, 0.4 TD
Cooper Kupp5.3 rec, 71 yds, 0.4 TD
MARKET
SEA -10 O/U 44.5 vs Model SEA -12.1
Sim Prediction: Seahawks by 12.1
Full breakdown →
BET VALUE
Across 50 simulations, Seahawks come out on top 86% of the time by an average of 12.1 (29-17).
Marvin Harrison Jr. (Cardinals) vs Devon Witherspoon (Seahawks) - winner: Devon Witherspoon, holding him to 43 yds on just 39% open, 0.9 INT a game, - a window that never opens.
Jeremiyah Love (Cardinals) vs Julian Love (Seahawks) - winner: Jeremiyah Love, 5.7 yds a carry - a tone-setter on the ground.
Sun
4:25pm
PROJ
WAS 12%
DAL 88%
PASS
Dak Prescott271 pass yds, 2.2 TD
Dak Prescott271 pass yds, 2.2 TD
RUSH
Javonte Williams75 rush yds, 0.8 TD
Javonte Williams75 rush yds, 0.8 TD
REC
CeeDee Lamb5.6 rec, 79 yds, 0.6 TD
CeeDee Lamb5.6 rec, 79 yds, 0.6 TD
MARKET
DAL -4.5 O/U 51.5 vs Model DAL -13.4
Sim Prediction: Cowboys by 13.4
Full breakdown →
BET VALUE
VALUE
Lean DAL -4.5 +8.9 pts
The model leans Cowboys by 13.4, winning 88% of 50 sims (projected 31-17).
Odafe Oweh (Commanders) vs Terence Steele (Cowboys) - winner: Odafe Oweh, winning 58% of reps for 3.5 sacks and 9.5 pressures a game - too much juice for the blocker.
Javonte Williams (Cowboys) vs Leo Chenal (Commanders) - winner: Javonte Williams, 5.5 yds a carry - a problem for the front.
Sun
4:25pm
PROJ
MIA 44%
SF 56%
PASS
Brock Purdy279 pass yds, 2.2 TD
Brock Purdy279 pass yds, 2.2 TD
RUSH
De'Von Achane87 rush yds, 0.7 TD
De'Von Achane87 rush yds, 0.7 TD
REC
Mike Evans5.3 rec, 80 yds, 0.4 TD
Mike Evans5.3 rec, 80 yds, 0.4 TD
MARKET
SF -10.5 O/U 46.5 vs Model SF -2.0
Sim Prediction: 49ers by 2.0
Full breakdown →
BET VALUE
VALUE
Lean MIA +10.5 +8.5 pts
Run it 50 times and 49ers win 56% of them, by 2.0 on average (25-23).
De'Von Achane (Dolphins) vs Dre Greenlaw (49ers) - winner: De'Von Achane, 6.8 yds a carry - moves the chains on the ground.
Malik Washington (Dolphins) vs Deommodore Lenoir (49ers) - winner: Deommodore Lenoir, holding him to 35 yds on just 39% open, 0.6 INT a game, - blanket coverage.
Sun
8:20pm
PROJ
IND 40%
KC 60%
PASS
Daniel Jones226 pass yds, 1.4 TD
Daniel Jones226 pass yds, 1.4 TD
RUSH
Jonathan Taylor75 rush yds, 0.6 TD
Jonathan Taylor75 rush yds, 0.6 TD
REC
Alec Pierce5.8 rec, 83 yds, 0.6 TD
Alec Pierce5.8 rec, 83 yds, 0.6 TD
MARKET
KC -5.5 O/U 47.5 vs Model KC -2.5
Sim Prediction: Chiefs by 2.5
Full breakdown →
BET VALUE
The sim sides with Chiefs: a 2.5-point edge and a 60% win rate over 50 runs (22-19).
Jonathan Taylor (Colts) vs Drue Tranquill (Chiefs) - winner: Jonathan Taylor, 5.5 yds a carry - a problem for the front.
Kenneth Walker III (Chiefs) vs Juanyeh Thomas (Colts) - winner: Kenneth Walker III, 4.7 yds a carry - a problem for the front.
Monday, Sep 21
Mon
8:15pm
PROJ
NYG 2%
LA 98%
PASS
Matthew Stafford287 pass yds, 2.6 TD
Matthew Stafford287 pass yds, 2.6 TD
RUSH
Kyren Williams88 rush yds, 0.7 TD
Kyren Williams88 rush yds, 0.7 TD
REC
Puka Nacua7.5 rec, 104 yds, 0.8 TD
Puka Nacua7.5 rec, 104 yds, 0.8 TD
MARKET
LA -8.5 O/U 47.5 vs Model LA -21.8
Sim Prediction: Rams by 21.8
Full breakdown →
BET VALUE
VALUE
Lean LA -8.5 +13.3 pts
Across 50 simulations, Rams come out on top 98% of the time by an average of 21.8 (34-13).
Kyren Williams (Rams) vs Ar'Darius Washington (Giants) - winner: Kyren Williams, 5.4 yds a carry - controls the line of scrimmage.
Darius Slayton (Giants) vs Jaylen Watson (Rams) - winner: Jaylen Watson, holding him to 13 yds on just 37% open, 0.7 INT a game, - locked up on the outside.